NFL Picks Week 12: Do or Die Sunday

Sorry the picks are late. Sorry the picks are being posted at 7:30 am on a Saturday when most people are sleeping or trying to hustle a late-night hookup out of their room.  Here they are, it should be a fun week.  

Pittsburgh (4-6) at Cleveland (4-6) (-1) 12:00 pm CBS - Oh Cleveland, I thought we had a good thing going but you threw all to shit with the horrid second quarter. Anyone noticing Pittsburgh?  Steelers have won four of their last six games and right in the mix with the AFC North chase. They get another win under their belt with a big Le'Von Bell performance. PITT 24-16

Tampa Bay (2-8) at Detroit (6-4) (-9) 12:00 pm FOX - This line feels too high to me. Calvin Johnson will be on Revis Island all game long, and vibes appear to right with Tampa Bay for the first time all season. Further, Mike Glennon is slicing and dicing dudes like it is job (Actually, it is.) and Detroit's secondary is not stopping anybody plus a little bit of a look-ahead against Green Bay. I am taking Lions to win with Tampa to cover. DET 27-23

Minnesota (2-8) at Green Bay (5-5) (-5) 12:00 pm FOX - Check out the Packer preview this week about this game.

San Diego (4-6) at Kansas City (9-1) (-5) 12:00 pm CBS - San Diego is not a good football team. It took us 10 weeks, but we finally have our answer. They had Miami on the ropes and lost. Kansas City will be coming off a loss, and Jamaal Charles has his first big game in a couple weeks as the Chiefs deliver the death punch to San Diego's season. KC 31-14

Chicago (6-4) at St. Louis (4-6) (-1) 12:00 pm FOX - I do not know what to think of this game. Here's the thing. I feel like Vegas knows something here. St. Louis does have a good defense, and they have figured it offensively with Zac Stacy making Kellen Clemens look like a non-factor. I keep waiting for Josh McCown to turn into a pumpkin, and it might be this week. Chicago's offensive line is good, but I think St. Louis' defensive line is better, let's get crazy. STL 17-14

Carolina (7-3) (-4.5) at Miami (5-5) 12:00 pm CBS - LETDOWN CITY POPULATION: CAROLINA. Oh my god does this scream letdown. Miami could luck themselves in another win here. Further, Carolina is missing a good amount from their defense. I really want to take Miami outright, but I cannot pull myself to do it. I just cannot trust Ryan Tannehill making all the right decisions against a still good Carolina defense even with the injuries. CAR 23-21

New York Jets (5-5) at Baltimore (4-6) (-4) 12:00 pm CBS - Geno Smith showed why he was a rookie quarterback. He also showed why we cannot trust him away from New York. I am not going to say Joe Flacco will have a big day and I am not saying Ray Rice will against this defense. I honestly think this is a truly ugly football game with Baltimore coming out on top. BALT 13-10

Jacksonville (1-9) at Houston (2-8) (-10) 12:00 pm CBS - Houston is a complete trainwreck. The rails are completely off. Jacksonville is their biggest rival, something I did not know until this week. I think Jaguars take control of this game with another decent Maurice Jones-Drew game. Houston is not getting picked until they can show an ability to win a football game. JAX 28-24

Tennessee (4-6) (-1) at Oakland (4-6) 3:05 pm CBS - Whoo boy I have no idea on this one. This feels like a dumb football game meaning there will be a lot of stupid shit that happens and no one can explain why it happens on Monday. Matt McGloin v. Ryan Fitzpatrick sounds very riveting. I will go with Matt McGloin because I am a goddamn rebel. OAK 23-17

Indianapolis (7-3) at Arizona (6-4) (-1) 3:05 pm CBS - I think this is a best game of the day and I am here to tell you Arizona is winning this one. Indianapolis is not a good football team right now. They are fake life. Colts secondary will get thrashed by Carson Palmer and company while Andrew Luck will struggle with the combination of Patrick Peterson and Honey Badger. Also Bruce Arians knows Luck more than I think people give him credit and will help out the defense this week. Arizona wins big. ARIZ 30-17

Dallas (5-5) at New York Giants (4-6) (-3) 3:25 pm FOX - Can Dallas please take care of New York? THAT'S RIGHT I AM STILL NOT A BELIEVER. This would be a good time for the Cowboys defense to actually resemble a defense. New York sees a real quarterback for the first time in a month, and Tony Romo should be able to pass against this team. Giants are already talking Dez Bryant meaning my Terrence Williams radar goes up. I like Dallas to get the win here and a critical sweep. DAL 33-28

Denver (9-1) at New England (7-3) (-3) 7:30 pm NBC - Brady v. Manning Part 14. I am glad to see it again and always the storyline is different. If Denver wins, they are probably settling into homefield advantage for their second straight year, and people will be calling them the Super Bowl favorite. New England wins, everyone tightens back up in the AFC. It will be a cold one in Foxboro in combination with a pissed off Patriots team from Monday's fiasco. I like New England. Their defense looked tough last week, and their offense did as much as they could against Carolina. NE 27-21

San Francisco (6-4) (-6) at Washington (3-7) 7:25 pm ESPN - This will be a knockout blow for a lot of people in Washington. Everyone is coming down on Robert Griffin III and their defense is still horrible. If San Francisco cannot figure out their offense against a struggling Washington, hope might be lost. I have San Francisco big in this one. SF 35-14

-Charlie.